As of October 2024, total credit disbursed across various economic sectors in Cambodia stood at 247,631 billion KHR, marking a 2.2% year-on-year increase. The distribution of credit and its year-over-year growth varied significantly across sectors, reflecting different economic dynamics and challenges. Here's a closer look at the key sectors and the factors influencing their growth or decline:
1. Wholesale and Retail Trade
Year-over-Year Growth: +0.01%
Share: 24.6%
Wholesale and retail trade remains the largest sector by credit share. However, its negligible growth suggests market saturation or a potential slowdown in consumer spending. External factors, such as global economic uncertainties and fluctuating commodity prices, may have played a role in the stagnation.
2. Construction
Year-over-Year Growth: +33.3%
Share: 11.8%
The construction sector showed the most significant growth among all sectors. This surge is likely driven by large-scale infrastructure projects, urbanization trends, and foreign investment, especially in commercial and residential developments. Government incentives and relaxed regulations for real estate development may also have contributed to this growth.
3. Mortgages (Owner-Occupied Housing Only)
Year-over-Year Growth: -3.9%
Share: 11.2%
The decline in mortgage credit could be attributed to rising interest rates or stricter lending policies by financial institutions. The slowdown in household purchasing power or a shift in consumer preference towards rental housing may also have impacted this segment.
4. Real Estate
Year-over-Year Growth: +17.8%
Share: 10%
Growth in real estate credit indicates continued demand for commercial and high-end residential properties. The rise of industrial parks and tourism-related properties, coupled with Cambodia’s increasing attractiveness as a destination for foreign investors, has likely fueled this growth.
5. Agriculture
Year-over-Year Growth: +0.9%
Share: 9.6%
The modest growth in agricultural credit reflects stability in the sector. However, challenges such as climate change, fluctuating crop prices, and the slow adoption of modern farming technologies may be limiting faster expansion.
6. Services
Year-over-Year Growth: +5.8%
Share: 7.9%
The service sector, which includes tourism, healthcare, and education, witnessed moderate growth. The recovery in tourism post-pandemic and increased investment in healthcare and education could have contributed to the sector’s expansion.
7. Manufacturing
Year-over-Year Growth: -5%
Share: 4.2%
The decline in manufacturing credit highlights challenges such as global supply chain disruptions, increased competition, and a potential slowdown in garment exports. Limited diversification within the sector may also be a factor.
8. Household
Year-over-Year Growth: -60.4%
Share: 1.1%
Household credit experienced the steepest decline, reflecting tightening financial conditions and reduced household borrowing capacity. Rising living costs or repayment challenges could be influencing this contraction.
9. Others
Year-over-Year Growth: +0.8%
Share: 19.6%
This category encompasses miscellaneous sectors, showing slight growth likely driven by diversification in financial support for smaller or emerging industries.
Key Takeaways
The Cambodian economy continues to evolve, with sectors like construction and real estate leading in credit growth, while others, such as manufacturing and household, face challenges. Policymakers and financial institutions need to strike a balance by fostering growth in emerging sectors while addressing the barriers in declining ones to ensure sustainable economic development.
Source: National Bank of Cambodia
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